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January 27, 2006



I have been writting about this issue for years at AMIN and so I will not bore year readers with a detailed analysis. My conclusion based on the history of the Palestinian Israeli conflict and my reading of historical forces in general lead me to "predict" that Hamas will have to follow the 1993 actions by the PLO. Renounce violence and accept the right of Israel to exist.

When the hamas electoral victory is viewed as such then it can be transformed into a hopeful development not only for the Palestinisns but for the whole region and even the world.


I just discovered your blog (through flogging the Simian) and what you write makes a lot of sense. So let me ask two questions:

1. Did the Israelis anticipate this result?

I can't believe they didn't, frankly. So how are they using it to dominate the Palestanians?

2. What is the reaction of the general Middle East Muslim world?


Indeed, the Israelis did anticipate this. Everybody knew this was about to happen, there were simply many indications to this effect to be ignored. How Israelis would react to this, however, will depend on who will win the upcoming elections in Israel, and on how Hamas is going to behave in the meantime, that is, on who will dictate its policies, the moderates, or the radicals.

As for countries in the region, their reaction will be mixed as usual: Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries, Egypt and Jordan will not support Palestinian radicals at this stage, Syria and Iran, on the other hand, will. So will Hezbollah. Radicals have the ability of forcing the agenda, because Israelis may not be able to show the necessary restraints in their response to provocation by the radicals in election times. This means that somehow the moderates in Hamas have to find a way to restrain their radicals one way or another.

Subcomandante Bob

The lighter side of the Palestinian election, as only National Nitwit can provide.


Our region is going to hell, again. Some people will blame Bush and Zionism for that. I blame our lingering stupidity. That is what makes me a heretic, I guess, not to mention a traitor.

yes those zionists and american want to see schools, libraries, water treatment plants and abuntant food and medicine for all peoples of the world....

it's a plot....

what i dont get is this hatred for anything jewish/american, anyone that has eyes can see that all the west wants from the arab world is it's stopping of blowing people up...

if the money the arab world spent on weapons went to irrigation and desalination & higher edu it could be a bread basket with more liveable space than anywhere...


really, maybe that's what islam needs...

what the jews went thru 2000 yrs ago...

what christians went thru 400 yrs ago...

destruction of state power....

at this moment you can still be killed for insulting islam. allah or mohammed

whereas to insult a jew or christian is NOT a captial crime (nor should it)

cant wait to see those sexy saudi gals in topless form, i will never discriminate against a nice islamic set of hooters.....


Hamas Has Strong Showing In Palestinian Elections


JINSA/CSP/PNAC Neocons moving fast for action against Syria:


Pentagon investigation of Iraq war hawk stalling Senate inquiry:


Anti-Neocons Forum Index -> Syria/Iran


Iran is Next:


The race to Iran is against the AIPAC trial:






Earl Capps

I think that Iran's nuclear program is meant to gain respect (not liking or trust) from the largest military power in the region - the United States. They're afraid of regime change being turned on them, but frankly, I think they have more to fear from their own people than the US miliary.

As to Hamas' victory - the media signalled clear frustration with the Palestinian government. People crossed over to vote to clean house, not because they supported Hamas. While their past earns them suspicion, they should be given time to figure out what they want to be now. If they wish to govern, they will have to change.

The best US policy towards both Iran and Hamas is to wait, say little and do nothing. Given time, a popular uprising will bring down the government in Tehran, and either reform Hamas, or drive it out of power.

There is no doubt that my country has shaken up the politics of the region through direct intervention, and prompting Western media attention and policy discussions of the region like never before. Having helped unleash the forces for change and reform, a lassiez faire approach by the US might be the smart approach for the near future.


Someone give me a viable reason as to why Iran cant own nuclear weapons. If Pakistan, India and Israel can have them, theres nothing in international law that prohibts iran...am i correct on this?

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