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January 24, 2006

Comments

Vox Populi - Agent Provocateur

Chirac doctrine could be : don't invade countries, just put an enormous pressure on them so that they reform their political system.

But actually, Chirac's doctrine is : you killed my friend so I'll show you.

Vox Populi - Agent Provocateur

"France has too many interests in the region to leave it to the Americans to do with it as they will. By not joining in the US-led alliance to topple e Saddam Hussein, the French ended up losing many lucrative oil and natural gas contracts, and all their previous agreements with the Saddam regime came to naught. All the suave realist politics of so many years produced nada."

Let us not interpret everything according to the Mossadegh syndrom. It's not only about oil. The US didn't invade Iraq for the oil and the French didn't oppose the invasion because of a gaz contract. There are bigger things at stake.

ghassan

Ammar, I would addexplicitly to all the good reasons that you mention the French aversion to the concept of a unipolar world. As you may still recall the French even coined the phrase of "hyperpower" in descibing the US. The Eu attempt, led by the French to offer an alternative to the US unipolar moment was to advocate a Kantian view of international relations as often enunciated by Habbermas.

The US stuck to its guns and has unfortunately demonstrated that Hobbs is still relevant and that Kantianism is an idea whose time has not come yet. I believe that Chirac has learned his lesson from what happened in Germany (socialists lost) and in the UK (Blair reelectd) in addition to the reelection of Bush and even the Conservative win in Canada. The French have had for almost two centuries a love-hate relationship with the US and Chirac will do all what he can to reassert aan alternative center of gravity to Washington DC. Actually, I wish him luck. I will always support a duopoly over a pur monopoly solution. Obviously the better solution is a multinodal world.

Ammar

Vox, indeed, I didn't mean to reduce everything to oil and gas. As Ghassan pointed out, there is indeed, a long-standing doctrine involved as well. Still, the role of the Mossadegh Syndrome is not something that we can ignore either. Oil politics are no less important today than they were then. Just consider the various developments taking place in Central Asia and the Trans-Caucasus. The stakes are too high to be ignored.

Tom Paine

French pretentions to global relevance will not survive being on the losing side of yet another leadership clash with the superpower -- nor will Chirac’s.

These pretentions have always been prominent among France’s self-defined "interests" -- however silly and "pretentious" Americans may think them.

Brandon

So, Chirac’s recent aggressiveness comes as a reflection of an actual strategic decision on part of the French President and his advisors, and does signal the return of France to the international arena.

Exactly

KingDrudge

on the line*

KingDrudge

I'm glad that Chirac said what he said about using nuclear weapons. However, his job is online next year so do you think there is some domestic political calculation in his recent comments.

O.D.M

I hate consipracy theories. I think they were created by the Jews to keep us busy from their Zionistic Imperialistic New World Order.


BUT

What is this now? As the pressures on Syria are mounting, the file of Iraqi WMD has popped up all of a sudden as Iraq's number 2 man in the airforce has decided to meet with the Senate Armed Committee to testify about Iraq sending all of its WMD and CW to Syria via Civilian Airplanes disguised as aid to the Damn catastrophe in the north late 2002.

This may be a coincidence, that is for sure.

BUT

If I hear Condi with Rice saying that Abu Musaab Al Zarqawi "qarqa3" matti with Asef Shawkat in August, 2004 I will formally join the What Really Happened Conspiracy group and go on Naked publicity stunts in Times Square.

ODM in no shape or form is defending the regime..but what he sensed is no trend..it is a fact:

America abuses each opportunity and tries to beef it up to reach its own agenda.

Think about the results of that bloody september 11 day... Caspian Sea Oil, Iraq oil, Arab dominance, EU partnerships, and overall influence.

Wish we had a president who followed the "God Bless Us, f*** everybody else!"

Joine the Disobedience Movement

Ammar

KingDrudge, I a not sure I know enough about the French domestic scene at this stage to respond to that. Albeit, odds are there is something here indeed.

ODM, Oil politics breed conspiracies, and not only conspiracy theories. God only knows what is going in the background. But, events in the foreground tend to be hard to control and do change people's calculations.

Working in the foregrounds of things is always tricky but I find it more "ethical" somehow. So, I guess, I'll stick to it for now. Fomenting Civil Disobedience is going to be high on my agenda for a while to come.

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