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January 09, 2007




The opposition, as you say, is now more organised and harmonious. It can condemn and make demands, but I still find it really hard to see how a real change of behaviour on the part of the regime, or a regime change, can be brought about without a mass uprising.

At present, the regime is empowered by Iran's political and military cover and it has sufficient financial resources to keep feeding the dense web of security and loyalties that protects it from the masses.

I read Khaddam's New Year statement in which he tries to reach out to the masses and army officers. Neither the message nor the messenger sounded very inspiring or convincing. I do not pretend to have a clear vision or an alternative answer but unless the masses can be inspired and mobilised and a tipping point is reached, no army officer is going to make a move.

The Internet, while being an important channel for the opposition to communicate amongst themselves and the rest of the world, is not an effective medium for communicating with ordinary Syrians.

I have noted that a number of disaffected Syrians have asked why the opposition could not run its own satellite TV station. I know radio broadcasts can be jammed but not sure is satellite TV signals can too. Perhaps the opposition should look into this as an option.


You are quite correct Philip, the NSF needs to come out with a more savvy media message. Also, we are indeed studying the prospect of establishing a satellite media channel. Hopefully, things will become clearer by this coming summer. I wish things could proceed at a much faster pace, of course. Unfortunately though, these things take time, especially when so many “old school” people are around.


No way that's Bashar will stay for ever.....

ghassan Karam

Although this is off-topic I hope that you can give me an answer if you can.
I was told by a reliable source, but I could not verify the validity of the information, that the current Syrian regime has declared that it intends to start paying compensation to the large land owners whose farm land was confiscated over 40 years ago. If this is true then I do not understand the motive for the move at this point in time. Does the Baath really need the political support of this very small group of individuals and is the Syrian government in a position to make payments totaling $4 Billion?


I think the opposition are doing a great job.
Time is not important as long as Syria and Syrian are safe.
God bless Syria


Nice and important blog ....


Kamal and Shami, thank you and welcome.

Ghassan, we have been hearing this rumor for years but nothing has so far taken effect. On the other hand, if there are any immediate plans to do anything along these lines these days, I think only a handful people who are now linked with the regime, one way or another, will ultimately receive anything. This might be meant to bolster the Assads' standing in certain small yet important circles. The majority of the people who should expect to benefit from this, won't.


I think it will be very hard to change this regime because this regime has succeed to terrorize the syrian people and the israelis think that regime change in syria will not be in their interests.


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